68 Comments
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Of course uncertainty is a big issue (once you've passed the denial phase).

Not only for the general issues mentioned, but also in very practical and concrete questions, that can be different for many patients.

For instance, at the moment I'm considering buying a new home. I'm looking for a house that I should be able to live in for some time, but I have no idea how my disability wil evolve. I don't know how much longer I will be able to work, so I don't know how much I can afford.

On a smaller scale: I want to meet with a friend, but I don't know how my fatigue will be. I don't want to make her come just for half an hour, but if I exhaust myself, I won't be functioning the next few days and my husband will have to do everything (for the x-th time).

These kind of things are just not something a neuro/nurse or any other third party can really help with. It's just an additional burden of having MS.

For a lot of the questions mentioned, I feel neuros evidently have a responsability to inform pwMS as best as possible. But they cannot offer certainty where there is none. Nor should they.

I get that neuros want to help, but I don't see how it's possible for neuros to solve 'the problem of uncertainty'?

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Indeed, social planning and having MS is an oxymoronic situation for me...the "I'll let you know on the day" when responding to simple meet up invitations takes a lot of understanding and patience on the part of the recipient. MRI scans showing NEIDA (No Evidence In Disease Activity) is contradictory to worsening symptoms - there needs to be an alternative scale on which to measure progression. All of this (and more) exacerbate unpredictability and uncertainty in MS, along with the anxiety which they bring.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Julie, I relate to everything you wrote! Was at that stage during Covid years and vaccination with AZ, now sadly declined. I would say that every decision you make, it should enable certain flexibility. For example, I planned friends meeting near shopping centre so I could cool down in the usually freezing shops❄️😉.

If you find yourself needing to sell your new home, be sure it is an interesting area of the property, or you have possibility to rent. Wish you all the best with your thrilling decisions 😇💕😊. Ina

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

thank you Ina

Expand full comment
founding
Apr 21Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Julie, I feel that I should have planned for greater disability, home wise, than I did. I can’t move, so I’m stuck with what can I adapt? My best to you in these decisions, which are huge.

Expand full comment
founding
Apr 21Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Hello Julie, Yes! The trouble with pacing oneself. Do too much, and I am literally worthless for several days. Not to mention the sleep impact, at least for me.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Closed leading questions aren’t really that helpful other than a broad sense of what areas concern patients more - I wonder what people without MS would answer for some of them that are generic life questions like planning for the future ?!

MS is such a variable illness affecting people at different ages and with different intensities plus each individual has their own outlook, personality, support system and own specific vulnerabilities.

I think it would be much better if HCPs just asked about fears and hopes and how they could support the pwMS on a spiritual, psychological and practical level. But they don’t seem to have any time. Despite being diagnosed very young, no one professional has ever asked my son about his emotions, if he is scared or confused about what’s happening to him or how they could support him with that. I was astounded how his psychological health was of entirely no interest to anyone.

I work in palliative care and have often thought a palliative approach would be useful even at the start of an MS diagnosis. Holistic care, advance care planning discussions, support for the family and carers and a hope for the best but plan for the worst parallel planning concept.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Completely agree with all of this. I only saw a psychologist because I pushed for it knowing as a HCP what they could offer. It was them who first said “as a HCP with experience of PWMS (generally advanced disease) we have to support and treat you differently than a non-HCP newly diagnosed pt who has never heard of MS”. I felt so validated but my CNS had never said anything similar nor asked how I was viewing my diagnosis with that frame of reference. Feel a pt prior knowledge of cancer is more recognised in that sphere and early palliative care for all non-curative diseases would be brilliant to address fears early on so they could be parked until needed

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Totally agree with you. I found it so hard working with patients with advanced MS whilst coming to terms with and trying to support my young teenager with his diagnosis. Not sure I will ever reconcile the two in truth.

But I was astounded at the lack of psychological or planning support for a child with a progressive illness. Perhaps if he had crumbled it might have appeared but what a sad way to approach it.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

I have good days/bad days with the advanced disease presentation. Sometimes it doesn’t bother me, other times I feel very much impacted by it

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Shouldn’t this issue be flipped. It’s not the uncertainty that’s the issue, it’s the certainty:

- the certainty that you will get worse / more disabled (it’s a progressive neurodegenerative disease);

- the certainty that you will go to bed with this disease tonight and wake up with this disease tomorrow;

- the certainty that you will need mobility aids (cane, wheelchair…) once you have had this disease for 15, 20 years;

- the certainty that you won’t (highly unlikely) be working until normal retirement age (60-65);

- the certainty that the retirement you dreamed of / saved for (playing tennis, hiking across the Alps….) won’t come to pass.

Of course effective treatments to stop the processes driving the continuous neurodegenerative would help address some of this certainty / uncertainty. Unfortunately, one of the other certainties with this disease is research progress is painfully slow and therapies to shut it down are only ever “on the horizon”.

Expand full comment
founding

Ian - a resounding yes! I nor probably anyone could have put it better. I was so terribly naive, but I certainly wasn’t helped by the medical profession. “Perhaps you’ll be a mild case” sort of pap. Well, I ain’t. Being older, I feel the younger cohort may have better odds, but neid status is frustrating with severe and degenerating disability. Appreciate your perspective.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

MS as a disease is uncertain in itself. It affects everyone differently so looking at the uncertainty for each individual would be, as you say, a Herculean task. Generalising might be helpful for some pwms but the uncertainty will always be there. Planning events such as holidays, days out or parties are always a worry because deep down you know it might all go wrong at the last minute and plans can be ruined. So many months of worry and uncertainty can then unfold and then you wonder if it’s all worth it. Self doubt, depression, anxiety, low self-esteem, which I’m sure has all been mentioned, can then unfold.

Living the rest of our lives with uncertainty is definitely a given for someone with MS. How to get used to living with uncertainty is the big question.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

In my experience MS Selfie reduces uncertainty by being clear, concise and honest in its posts. I do feel a lot of neurologists need to learn from you and take on the same approach.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Most of this article seems to be about communication/DMTs. A quick look at MS forums shows there are issues there.

But this blog seems to focus on the wider issue of long-term prognosis.

I found it devastating to be told that I had dementia (MS is dementia in my book - brain degeneration) that would progress, inevitably, but we don't know when. I understand it knocks an average of about 7 years off my life expectancy. But that's not half as hard as the unpredictability of the timing. I know a lot of people worry about raising their children. The entry above says very little about finance: Will I be able to work? Will I have a roof over my head or become homeless? How will I save for a pension? Will I apply for benefits or is that process too much to bear emotionally? To plan, financially, we need to know how long we will work and how long we will live (and need to pay for ourselves). Doctors seem reluctant to talk about this, perhaps because they simply don't know.

When I was diagnosed I asked whether I might have to retire early. The neurologist just said vaguely, "oh, no..., no...." What, really? So I can expect on average to work to my statutory retirement age of 68? I'm going to plan my finances around this, so it's a serious question. Perhaps people with NHS pensions don't realise...

It is also complicated for people like me who intend to use assisted dying to end our lives when we feel we have had enough. I have a rough idea what that would be in terms of incapacity but I don't know how long I have until then. This is a very practical issue. I need to know an expected working life/actual life to plan for retirement. Without this information people with MS will be worse off financially.

Apart from work, I think many people with MS wonder "How long will I be able to...dance/run/hike/do advanced maths/go surfing/ride a horse/play rugby/read novels/go out for a drink with friends without wetting myself...". Overnight, life is turned on its head.

Denial is not always a bad thing. To me some denial is vital, otherwise I would cease to function. It is actually very hard to achieve, but if you can manage to be in denial it means you can make something of your life now, without having MS take over.

I was also someone who threw myself into research - I recognise the reaction described above. It is an attempt to get some control, feel I am doing what I can and find some crumbs of hope for the future. The downsides of this: 1) It does take over your life, 2) risk of going down rabbit holes...needs a reliable neurologist to correct and 3) I think it can lead to excess optimism - that cure is always "just" round the corner. Medical research moves more slowly than we age and so many treatments in progress will be too late for those of us diagnosed now. Brains are difficult: hard to examine, hard to operate on, don't renew themselves like skin. We may cling to our neurologists, desperately investing them with god-like powers, but that's unfair. So much is a matter of luck and the doctor cannot work miracles.

Would a clearer prognosis help? It would for things like financial planning. But if the news were very bad, and there were nothing "more" I could do about it, perhaps I would regret knowing. Patients who say they "feel fine now" so don't want a DMT may need to faced with some nasty realities, but for those of us who are already doing what we can, I'm not sure more knowledge is always a good thing.

What would help - oh, so much! - is to feel the NHS were on-side and supportive. It's bad enough to be diagnosed with MS. But then you find: The NHS is broken. Too many staff are apathetic, burnt out inefficient and unhelpful. As a patient you have to make dozens of calls to correct errors. There is no sense of service whatsoever, at most a litigation-avoidance culture. When it comes to the doctors, a proportion of clinicians seem to be wildly incompetent/out of date with current treatment: really sad, really scary. There are also committed, dedicated neurologists but they sometimes seem to be rather at loggerheads with each other. As a patient exposed to this, you don't know where to turn, whom to trust.

What I would like to see for future generations of MSers is not (just) "new treatments", but an NHCS (health AND care) where all staff - admin and clinical - know how devastating MS is and can say: You have this awful diagnosis through no fault of your own. We're so sorry. But... you are not alone. We will be with you, every step of the way. It is our ambition to enable you to live your life to the full, for as long as we possibly can. And if you do decide (clearly, consistently) that you have had enough, we will help you through a peaceful death.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

5 years after being diagnosed with MS I was diagnosed with breast cancer. Immediately after my cancer diagnosis there was a lot of support and a lot of action unlike after my MS diagnosis where I was sent away and told to get on with it as I wasn't at that time eligible for DMTs, the only advice seemed to be live your life as normal and see what happens, when actually this is the time when you need most support dealing with it emotionally (fear or denial) and also preparing for the future. Because of course you will get worse. I was lucky enough to be recommended a really good Iyengar yoga teacher who knew a little about MS and I have no doubt that the reason I remain mobile is because of this. Neurologists should be able to prescribe such treatments as well as drugs, and do this at diagnosis. In fact it is my cognition that has led me to ill health retirement, and yet no one ever assessed this until I asked my OT about help with getting my teachers pension. The uncertainty of how long my brain will work well enough is very frightening. There is a lot of uncertainty involved with cancer too, has it spread? will it come back? But it taught me to live for now and try not to worry about tomorrow.

Expand full comment
founding
Apr 21Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Hi Victoria, I understand about the issues with cognition. That was my primary issue with retirement also, along with fatigue. I don’t believe anyone talked or counseled me about cognition with MS. There were also side effects from the cancer treatment, though. I think it’s uncertain and yes, frightening, living in health limbo. (You’ve also been through a lot.) My best to you.

Expand full comment
Apr 21·edited Apr 22

Victoria, I too "get it", all of it, the cognition bit trashing a mainly mental career (in IT), the fatigue, the cancer. Only in my case the first cancer I had was at age 40, about 12 years before I was dx'd with MS. It was very random: wrong age, wrong sex, no family risk factors. I am 20+ years out so one can say that that cancer wasn't cured, but the experience was the first slap in the face that life IS uncertain. At the time, I was depressed because of reasons, and being dx'd with the cancer jerked me out of it. I realized I was wasting my precious days on a habit of mind that was NOT serving me, so with a bit of effort, I stopped. But the visceral understanding of uncertainty has never left me. Like you it gave me that "live for now" mindset. One can lose that for a bit and start the fretting again, but a walk down memory lane can bring it back if you let it, and it's actually not a bad place to be. Also, mere months before my dx, I had to have a heart ablation for a congenital heart problem, so more uncertainty. But I believe that because of my previous "uncertainty lessons" I was not AS rocked as say, a 30 year old in seemingly perfect health, by a MS dx. But I too needed someone to talk to, because neuros sure as heck ain't it in that area. They are quite often happy to kick you to the curb for anything other than the initial sexy dx and the prescribing of drugs. No one at any time acknowledged that I even HAD an emotional state for MS to do a job on, let alone suggest I see someone. On my own, I did find a mental health person to work with for a while, to help me get it out, so to speak, but in the end, I believe we all must learn to deal with uncertainty alone, and come to an acceptance that uncertainty is not just OUR lot, but the human condition. This, I believe, can be the great, albeit bitter, lesson in any condition like MS, (especially for Westerners who cut their teeth on the mostly unacknowledged assumption that bad things only happen to other people, other people who probably DID something to deserve it, never to US.) In the time since my dx, I've also had ANOTHER cancer, breast cancer (and yes, oncologists do a much better job of being visibly caring humans, even many years out when you only see them for follow-ups), and in the last year, I've had a friend my age who was seemingly in vibrant health, die very quickly after a dx of metastatic gallbladder cancer. So my "life is uncertain" muscle has had quite the workout even since my MS dx. But it's never easy. Rest assured though, you're not alone in your struggles. WE "get it", even if docs don't.

Expand full comment

This: 'I believe we all must learn to deal with uncertainty alone, and come to an acceptance that uncertainty is not just OUR lot, but the human condition." is totally the truth! my breast cancer was dxed in screening. At 47 I was invited to be part of an early screening programme, I had no lump, and I'm a 'yeah, why not' kind of person, so next I'm going through a long drawn out diagnosis, which was so traumatic, but forever was the thought in my mind "what if I'd waited until 50?" In fact I used to look at the people around me and think " you might have cancer and you don't know it. At least I know now" That was 5 years ago, so I'm worrying less about recurrence. And what I got out of it was to start a part time degree in creative writing which I'm halfway through. I'd always wanted to be a writer, what was I waiting for?! I might never finish but it doesn't matter. I've stopped doing things to get them done and started doing them to enjoy the doing, the living. I wrote a poem whilst recovering from surgery, when I'd been caught out in some shocking driving rain called 'This is how it feels to be alive'. I try to think that every day when things aren't good. Because I want to be alive. Enjoy the living with all its uncertainty and pain, it's all we've got!

Expand full comment

I am shocked that insurers are happy to exclude healthy children from life insurance for mortgages. My daughter, aged 38, has been excluded from obtaining life insurance on the basis of my MS. I think this is absurd since cancers more likely. Her mortage is in her husbands sole name so yet another example of how women are disadvantaged by shadow practices in the insurance industry.

Expand full comment
founding
Apr 21Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Fiona, how on earth can they exclude your daughter from insurance? Are you in the States? Because that would be typical here. How awful! I am so sorry.

Expand full comment

Hi Italien, no I'm in the UK; major bank and insurer. They say that the genetic link is strong, which I understand to be far less than say breat cancer, yet insurance still provided for women with a family history of breast cancer.

Expand full comment
founding
Apr 21Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

That is unbelievable! And nothing short of shocking. I was an insurance defense lawyer and said that when genetic testing was available, it would be used for exclusions exactly as you say, for example, cancers. But this is something else altogether. I’m speechless.

Expand full comment

I suspect Martin Lewis would find this a very interesting predicament and would look into this industry practice for you.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Firstly I think it is bit like giving birth and becoming a parent, your own experience is completely unique, advice given may not apply to you, you can pick our bits that are useful. Also when first diagnosed you may not have particularly bad symptoms, so don't even want to think about the future, plus you don't know how the disease will develop for you. Surely it would never occur to someone some of the difficult symptoms they may encounter.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Uncertainty about our disease course is of course profoundly psychologically unsettling . I have had RRMS for 10 years . In the first few years I was having repeated frequent relapses while trying to work and look after young family . I since had to stop work . There is no default offer of psychological help and it seems to me that this is a mistake . If we can be helped to learn to live better with our illness we will engage with healthier behaviours , have better mental health , improved coping for families with a PWMS. I was lucky to have alemtuzumab and it halted the relapses so I have been given some stability and hope. If I had known this might happen 10 years ago I might not have felt as despairing after diagnosis . I think counselling should be offered as standard & I think it would be cost effective as it would improve outcomes .

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Massive issue. So much anxiety arrived with diagnosis.

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

I couldn’t agree more that for me the level of uncertainty is sky high and it has not improved since my first symptom 25 years ago. With MS this uncertainty along with a seemingly laissez faire way of dealing with the disease is for me heartbreaking and a stark realisation of my own well-being and future “life”. Even for a layman it seems clear that the sooner MS is treated the better. I’ve never heard it being said to delay treatment of Cancer.

The cost of the drugs is surely offset by the extra funds needed for the extra funds needed to look after a failing untreated MS body.

Its only MS

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Don’t feel those questions are massively addressing the uncertainty you mention. They are solely focused on whether the HCP have supported the patients and the patients feel the treatment is helping. A scale to ask about fears related to likely disease progression and specific symptoms would be more useful for us pts-but only if the MS team could then support the results

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

The answer to the question in the post’s title is, ‘WTF do you think?’

Expand full comment
Apr 20·edited Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Of course there is uncertainty. I have been progressing downhill for the past 2 years (since covid) and the main question I ask myself is When will the progression stop,if ever? Will I become disabled? Who will take care of me when my husband is at work? Oh God, better not to say all the things that go through my head… HCPs in Bosnia are not of any help

Reading about the disease, especially MS sslfie, really helps, and I believe knowlegde is power. Thank you for everything you do for pwMS prof G!

Expand full comment
founding
Apr 21Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Hi Belma, I don’t know if any GPs or anyone is a help, I’m sticking to the Selfie too! I did have to do bladder Botox research. I’m hoping the stuff wears off soon, but so far it’s still catheter city, and 5 major infections later. Grrr. Hang in there, friend.

Expand full comment

Dear Italien, I’m sending you lots of hugs, hope it will wear off and you stop having infections… take care ❤️

Expand full comment
founding

Dear Belma, I am sending you hugs back! As we know, life revolving 24/7!around one’s bladder is a real pain! (Pun intended.. ;) 💞

Expand full comment
Apr 20Liked by Gavin Giovannoni

Uncertainty is really difficult, but it's exacerbated by practical factors which could be addressed - for example the lack of appropriate housing in the UK.

If builders were compelled to build many more future proofed homes at the heart of communities and with accessible public transport a lot of stress about the future would be alleviated.

People need to be able to establish strong links with neighbours and the local community while they are physically able, and having a 'forever home' at an early stage would help enormously. No more worry about having to move and lose support networks 'if my legs go' etc

Expand full comment